Urinary levels of melatonin and risk of postmenopausal breast cancer: women's health initiative observational cohort.

BACKGROUND Results from prospective studies on the association between urinary levels of melatonin and risk of postmenopausal breast cancer have been mixed. Several although not all studies have found lower urinary levels of melatonin in women who developed breast cancer compared with cancer-free women. METHODS We examined the association between urinary levels of melatonin and breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women in a case-control study nested in the Women's Health Initiative Observational Cohort. Levels of 6-sulfatoxymelatonin were measured in first morning voids from 258 women who later developed breast cancer and from 515 matched controls. Multivariable conditional logistic regression was used to calculate ORs and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS Fully adjusted risk estimates of breast cancer, relative to the lowest quartile level of creatinine-adjusted melatonin, were 1.07 (95% CI, 0.67-1.71), 1.26 (95% CI, 0.79-2.01), and 1.25 (95% CI, 0.78-2.02) for women in the second, third, and highest quartile (Ptrend = 0.27). Comparable results for cases diagnosed less than four years after urinary collection and matched controls were 1.0, 1.25 (95% CI, 0.51-3.06), 1.85 (95% CI, 0.75-4.57), and 1.94 (95% CI, 0.75-5.03; Ptrend = 0.11). Melatonin levels and breast cancer were not associated in cases diagnosed four or more years after urinary collection and matched controls (Ptrend = 0.89). CONCLUSIONS We found no evidence that higher urinary levels of melatonin are inversely associated with breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women. IMPACT Accumulating discrepancies in results across studies warrant further exploration.